Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000133 0.000147 0.000162 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000245
2025-07-20 0.000108 0.000129 0.000153 0.000183 0.000220 0.000264 0.000320
2025-07-27 0.000091 0.000115 0.000144 0.000182 0.000232 0.000296 0.000384
2025-08-03 0.000081 0.000106 0.000139 0.000185 0.000248 0.000332 0.000456
2025-08-10 0.000071 0.000097 0.000132 0.000182 0.000255 0.000357 0.000514
2025-08-17 0.000064 0.000090 0.000126 0.000181 0.000262 0.000382 0.000575
2025-08-24 0.000058 0.000083 0.000120 0.000177 0.000266 0.000402 0.000629
2025-08-31 0.000052 0.000076 0.000113 0.000172 0.000266 0.000414 0.000673
2025-09-07 0.000048 0.000073 0.000110 0.000172 0.000274 0.000441 0.000744
2025-09-14 0.000045 0.000070 0.000109 0.000174 0.000286 0.000475 0.000830
2025-09-21 0.000042 0.000066 0.000104 0.000171 0.000288 0.000492 0.000888
2025-09-28 0.000038 0.000061 0.000098 0.000165 0.000284 0.000497 0.000925
2025-10-05 0.000036 0.000059 0.000096 0.000166 0.000294 0.000531 0.001022
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000057 0.000096 0.000168 0.000307 0.000572 0.001143
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000054 0.000093 0.000167 0.000313 0.000600 0.001240
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000052 0.000092 0.000170 0.000327 0.000644 0.001379
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000167 0.000330 0.000668 0.001476
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000166 0.000334 0.000695 0.001586
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000045 0.000083 0.000163 0.000335 0.000714 0.001679
2025-11-23 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000158 0.000331 0.000721 0.001744
2025-11-30 0.000022 0.000041 0.000078 0.000158 0.000339 0.000757 0.001887
2025-12-07 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000160 0.000352 0.000806 0.002074
2025-12-14 0.000020 0.000038 0.000075 0.000157 0.000352 0.000824 0.002180